Mortgage Watch Report

Mortgage Rates have seen solid improvements this week as investors shift focus to recession fears in 2023. Change has been in the air since the November 10th CPI data came out.  That report did MORE than ANY other event to change the rising interest rate narrative.  Then, 2 days ago, Fed Bar Powell confirmed the Fed is now at the point of SLOWING THE PACE of rate hikes and is settling in on a “terminal” rate cap or ceiling.  In order for this narrative to continue, not only does inflation need to moderate, but the labor market cannot send strong signals.

Today, nonfarm payrolls increased 263,000 in November, much BIGGER than the 200,000 increase expected by economists polled by Dow Jones. The unemployment rate held steady at 3.7%. Average hourly earnings also came in above expectations, jumping 0.6% compared with the prior month and 5.1% against the same month a year ago.

Bottom Line: the mortgage rate are moving higher this morning.  Since we had a big rally and now reversing trend, my belief is to lock in the short term, but float if you are not closing for 30 days.

















Keith Murphy Branch Manager – Essex Mortgage NMLS #330827

Direct: 714-309-1140


About the Author

Tim Morissette, also known in the community as Mr. Foothill Ranch, offers over 46 years of real estate experience which has given him an established reputation and unmatched market knowledge. He is joined by his wife, Michele and sons Matt and Jeff, as they continue to offer personal service with an emphasis on achieving his clients’ real estate goals.  This unique combination of traits has led to his proven track record of referral and repeat business. This can be witnessed by the trust of homeowners in Foothill Ranch where he has sold twice as many homes and represented three times more buyers than the next-leading real estate agent for the last 26 years.

As residents of Foothill Ranch since 1994, Tim and Michele are actively involved in the community by fundraising for Foothill Ranch Library, Make-a-Wish Foundation, Cancer Society, Homes for Habitat, Relay for Life, South County Outreach, and the local church and schools. Tim enjoys sponsoring community-wide garage sales, paper shredding and e-waste recycling event, an Easter egg hunt, & a Meet Santa Event.

Tim and Michele are dedicated to their family of four sons, daughter-in-laws, and grandchildren. As a family, they enjoy many outdoor activities which include camping, spearfishing, mountain climbing and exploring the miles of hiking and equestrian trails in Foothill Ranch and the Whiting Ranch Wilderness Park. Tim and his sons are also avid snowboarders and enjoy mountain biking and lobster diving. Family is a top priority in the Morissette household. They look forward to helping more families achieve their dreams of homeownership.