Mortgage Watch

IMG_0889jpeg (1)

Mortgage Rates Nearing Long-Term Lows!!

 

📉 Mortgage Rates Slide Despite Quiet Headlines

Mortgage Rates downward movement this week came with a twist: no major headlines, no blockbuster data—yet we saw two notably active days in the bond market. In fact, a partial government shutdown has delayed key data releases like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) which typically influences rate direction.

 

🔍 Why Rates Are Slipping Without Big News

Here’s what’s driving the quiet improvement:

  • Market anticipation: With inflation data delayed, investors are speculating that upcoming reports may show cooling prices.

  • Technical momentum: As rates approach key psychological levels (like 6.125%), lenders often adjust pricing more aggressively.

  • Flight to safety: Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and mixed economic signals are pushing investors toward safer assets like bonds, which boosts MBS prices.

 

⚠️ Slippery Slope or Temporary Dip?

Bottom Line: If you’re house hunting or considering a refinance, this week’s rate dip could be a window of opportunity. While no one can predict where rates will go next, the recent trend suggests lenders are becoming more responsive to even modest bond market gains.

That said, volatility remains high. With CPI data and Fed commentary on the horizon, next week could bring sharper moves—up or down.

Screenshot 2025-10-17 134433

 

                             

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SOURCE & AUTHOR | Keith Murphy Branch Manager – Essex Mortgage NMLS #330827 Direct: 714-309-1140 Apply: www.GoTeamMurphy.com

About the Author
Print-1-180×180

Tim Morissette, also known in the community as Mr. Foothill Ranch, offers over 48 years of real estate experience which has given him an established reputation and unmatched market knowledge. He is joined by his wife, Michele and sons Matt and Jeff, as they continue to offer personal service with an emphasis on achieving his clients’ real estate goals.  This unique combination of traits has led to his proven track record of referral and repeat business. This can be witnessed by the trust of homeowners in Foothill Ranch where he has sold twice as many homes and represented three times more buyers than the next-leading real estate agent for the last 29 years.

As residents of Foothill Ranch since 1994, Tim and Michele are actively involved in the community by fundraising for Foothill Ranch Library, Make-a-Wish Foundation, Cancer Society, Homes for Habitat, Relay for Life, South County Outreach, and the local church and schools. Tim enjoys sponsoring community-wide garage sales, paper shredding and e-waste recycling event, an Easter egg hunt, & a Meet Santa Event.

Tim and Michele are dedicated to their family of four sons, daughter-in-laws, and grandchildren. As a family, they enjoy many outdoor activities which include camping, spearfishing, mountain climbing and exploring the miles of hiking and equestrian trails in Foothill Ranch and the Whiting Ranch Wilderness Park. Tim and his sons are also avid snowboarders and enjoy mountain biking and lobster diving. Family is a top priority in the Morissette household. They look forward to helping more families achieve their dreams of homeownership.