OC Housing Report

Housing Insanity Returns

With the number of available homes to purchase at extremely low levels, there simply are too many buyers competing against each other despite high mortgage rates.

A three-bedroom, two-and-a-half bathroom, 2,100 square foot home on a 3,700 square foot lot, built in 2003, was placed on the market on the second Tuesday of March at $1,099,000. There was a steady stream of buyers during a three-hour window on Saturday and a two-hour window on Sunday. By Monday evening, more than 20 offers were submitted to the listing agent. The seller countered all offers and asked them to return with their highest and best price. The home closed during the second week of April at $1,145,000, an astonishing 4% above its list price. 

Not every home sells above the asking price, especially in today’s high mortgage rate environment. The sales-to-list price ratio for detached homes priced below $2 million so far in April is 99.9%. For luxury homes, anything priced above $2 million (the top 10% of closings), it drops to 94%. The median time on the market is nine days, a little over a week. It would probably be even faster, but there are too many offers for many sellers to sift through. 

The Expected Market Time, the time between coming on the market and opening escrow, is a function of supply, the number of available homes, and demand, a snapshot of recent pending sales activity. Typically, the inventory slowly grows from January through March and then picks up steam during the spring. This year, the inventory dropped from 2,530 in January to 2,053 today, plunging by 19%. The 3-year average mid-April inventory before COVID (2017 to 2019) was 5,780, an unbelievable 182% higher than today. Demand has increased from 900 pending sales to 1,663 today, an 85% rise. The 3-year pre-COVID average was 2,777, 67% higher than today, its lowest level for mid-April since 2020, during the initial pandemic lockdowns. Demand readings are down because of higher rates and fewer homes available to place into escrow. 













Excerpt taken from an article by Steven Thomas.

About the Author

Tim Morissette, also known in the community as Mr. Foothill Ranch, offers over 46 years of real estate experience which has given him an established reputation and unmatched market knowledge. He is joined by his wife, Michele and sons Matt and Jeff, as they continue to offer personal service with an emphasis on achieving his clients’ real estate goals.  This unique combination of traits has led to his proven track record of referral and repeat business. This can be witnessed by the trust of homeowners in Foothill Ranch where he has sold twice as many homes and represented three times more buyers than the next-leading real estate agent for the last 26 years.

As residents of Foothill Ranch since 1994, Tim and Michele are actively involved in the community by fundraising for Foothill Ranch Library, Make-a-Wish Foundation, Cancer Society, Homes for Habitat, Relay for Life, South County Outreach, and the local church and schools. Tim enjoys sponsoring community-wide garage sales, paper shredding and e-waste recycling event, an Easter egg hunt, & a Meet Santa Event.

Tim and Michele are dedicated to their family of four sons, daughter-in-laws, and grandchildren. As a family, they enjoy many outdoor activities which include camping, spearfishing, mountain climbing and exploring the miles of hiking and equestrian trails in Foothill Ranch and the Whiting Ranch Wilderness Park. Tim and his sons are also avid snowboarders and enjoy mountain biking and lobster diving. Family is a top priority in the Morissette household. They look forward to helping more families achieve their dreams of homeownership.