A 2025 Forecast
HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! Now, what does that mean for Orange County real estate? First, let us look back at what happened in 2024 in terms of inventory, demand, luxury properties, and the Expected Market Time.
The inventory climbed all year until its late peak in September.
The year started with an active inventory of 1,623 homes, the second lowest level to start a year since tracking began in 2004, only behind 2022’s 954 anemic start. The average start before the pandemic was 4,500 homes, an astonishing 177% higher. A lack of available homes to purchase has been the mantra for the housing market since the pandemic hit nearly five years ago. Unlike in 2023, when the inventory fell from January through mid-April, this year was different, more like 2022, when mortgage rates were climbing. From January until its peak in September of 3,695, the inventory grew by 128%, adding 2,072 homes. It was the highest peak since 2022. The 3-year average peak before COVID (2017 to 2019) was 6,959 homes, 88% higher than this year. From September until the year’s end, the number of available homes decreased to 2,699, similar to 2022’s 2,642 level. The end to 2024 was 40% below the 3-year average end to December of 4,479. The start of 2025 will be very similar to the start of 2023, with about 2,500 available homes to purchase.
Excerpt taken from an article by Steven Thomas.