OC Housing Report | Seize the Day

COVID-19 has lost its grip on buyer demand, but it is still preventing homeowners from listing their homes.

Lack of Supply: From March through today, one-third fewer homes were placed on the market.

For many Southern Californians, this is the time of year to flock to the beach. The warmth of the sand, the tranquil sounds of waves crashing, and a refreshing dip in the surf are an invitation that beckons Cali residents to come and relax. There are times when a decision is made not to go because of the fear that the beach is overcast and the ocean waters are too cold, also known as “June gloom.” For many, it is disheartening to find out later that the shores were sunny and the water was perfect, a missed opportunity for a wonderful day on the sand. Similarly, many homeowners think that now is not a good time to sell because of COVID-19, that “June gloom” has shrouded the Orange County housing market due to the virus. With reports calling for prices to drop, many have come to believe that the market favors buyers and that it is exceedingly difficult to sell. After all, how can you sell a home in this environment, in the midst of a pandemic? These homeowners have their wires crossed and they could not be further from the truth. Today’s Orange County market is a Hot Seller’s Market with an Expected Market Time (the amount of time between hammering in the FOR-SALE sign to opening escrow) of only 59 days. It is the hottest June since 2013. Homes new to the market are being met with a flood of showings, multiple offers are the norm once again, and sellers are fetching very close to, and often even more than, their asking prices. As far as the housing market is concerned, it is sunny and the water is perfect, a missed opportunity for those homeowners who think otherwise. What is at issue is supply and demand. Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior 30-days, has increased from inherent levels in mid-April, lows last seen during the Great Recession, back to high levels last experienced at the beginning of March, just prior to the COVID-19 “Stay at Home” order. The all-time record low mortgage rates at 3% are stoking the fires of demand. And, the active listing inventory, supply, is at its lowest level for a June since 2013, currently at 4,950 homes. Last year there were 51% more homes on the market totaling 7,493. With an ultra-anemic supply and unbelievably strong demand, the overall housing market is hot. COVID-19 is no longer affecting demand. Demand is pumping on all cylinders. On the other hand, COVID-19 still has a grip on supply, preventing many from placing their homes on the market. Since the start of the virus pandemic in the United States through today, a large number of homeowners have opted to wait and place any moving plans on hold.




About the Author

Tim Morissette, also known in the community as Mr. Foothill Ranch, offers over 46 years of real estate experience which has given him an established reputation and unmatched market knowledge. He is joined by his wife, Michele and sons Matt and Jeff, as they continue to offer personal service with an emphasis on achieving his clients’ real estate goals.  This unique combination of traits has led to his proven track record of referral and repeat business. This can be witnessed by the trust of homeowners in Foothill Ranch where he has sold twice as many homes and represented three times more buyers than the next-leading real estate agent for the last 26 years.

As residents of Foothill Ranch since 1994, Tim and Michele are actively involved in the community by fundraising for Foothill Ranch Library, Make-a-Wish Foundation, Cancer Society, Homes for Habitat, Relay for Life, South County Outreach, and the local church and schools. Tim enjoys sponsoring community-wide garage sales, paper shredding and e-waste recycling event, an Easter egg hunt, & a Meet Santa Event.

Tim and Michele are dedicated to their family of four sons, daughter-in-laws, and grandchildren. As a family, they enjoy many outdoor activities which include camping, spearfishing, mountain climbing and exploring the miles of hiking and equestrian trails in Foothill Ranch and the Whiting Ranch Wilderness Park. Tim and his sons are also avid snowboarders and enjoy mountain biking and lobster diving. Family is a top priority in the Morissette household. They look forward to helping more families achieve their dreams of homeownership.